Package: BCT Type: Package Title: Bayesian Context Trees for Discrete Time Series Version: 1.3 Date: 2026-08-03 Authors@R: c(person(given = "Ioannis", family = "Papageorgiou", role = "aut"), person(given = c("Valentinian", "Mihai"), family = "Lungu", role = c("aut", "cre"), email = "valentinian.mihai@gmail.com"), person(given = "Ioannis", family = "Kontoyiannis", role = "aut")) Description: An implementation of a collection of tools for exact Bayesian inference with discrete times series. This package contains functions that can be used for prediction, model selection, estimation, segmentation/change-point detection and other statistical tasks. Specifically, the functions provided can be used for the exact computation of the prior predictive likelihood of the data, for the identification of the a posteriori most likely (MAP) variable-memory Markov models, for calculating the exact posterior probabilities and the AIC and BIC scores of these models, for prediction with respect to log-loss and 0-1 loss and segmentation/change-point detection. Example data sets from finance, genetics, animal communication and meteorology are also provided. Detailed descriptions of the underlying theory and algorithms can be found in [Kontoyiannis et al. 'Bayesian Context Trees: Modelling and exact inference for discrete time series.' Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology), April 2022. Available at: [stat.ME], July 2020] and [Lungu et al. 'Change-point Detection and Segmentation of Discrete Data using Bayesian Context Trees' [stat.ME], March 2022]. License: GPL (>= 2) LazyData: true Encoding: UTF-8 Imports: Rcpp (>= 1.0.5), stringr, igraph, grDevices, graphics LinkingTo: Rcpp Depends: R (>= 4.0) RoxygenNote: 7.3.3 NeedsCompilation: yes Packaged: 2026-10-03 07:32:55 UTC; root Author: Ioannis Papageorgiou [aut], Valentinian Mihai Lungu [aut, cre], Ioannis Kontoyiannis [aut] Maintainer: Valentinian Mihai Lungu Config/pak/sysreqs: libglpk-dev libicu-dev libxml2-dev Repository: https://valentinian22.r-universe.dev Date/Publication: 2026-08-03 23:20:22 UTC RemoteUrl: https://github.com/cran/BCT RemoteRef: HEAD RemoteSha: 7256534c1617af656e8f3255676a34733225dcb3